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05/03/2025

Coffee: Limited supply puts pressure on prices and arabica returns to the US$ 4/lp level

Coffee prices were trading with gains on international stock exchanges on Wednesday morning (05). According to Barchart, prices are supported by below-normal rainfall in Brazil, which could reduce the productivity of the coffee harvest, and by the reduction in certified stocks. According to information from Reuters, Brazilian coffee growers sold almost all of their beans months before the new harvest, as global prices almost doubled to historic highs in the last 14 months. Somar Meteorologia reported that Minas Gerais (the main producer of Arabica) received 11.4 mm in the week ending February 22, or 24% of the historical average. The Cepea Research Center highlights that the strong heat waves in important coffee-producing regions in recent days could harm the final development of crops in the new 2025/26 season. At around 8:40 am (Brasília time), Arabica was up 1,115 points at 414.90 cents/lbp in the March/25 contract, up 1,060 points at 409.00 cents/lbp in the May/25 contract, up 950 points at 397.20 cents/lbp in the July/25 contract, and up 810 points at 385.65 cents/lbp in the September/25 contract.

Robusta was trading with a high of US$ 159 at US$ 5,655/ton in the March/25 maturity, an increase of US$ 10 quoted at US$ 5,655/ton in the May/25 maturity, a gain of US$ 9 at US$ 5,608/ton in the July/25 maturity, and an advance of US$ 5 traded at US$ 5,528/ton in the September/25 maturity.

Source: Notícias Agrícolas